Thursday, 30 May 2013

Movie releases 31 May 2013 - Box Office Prediction

Yeh Jawaani Hai Deewani

Yeh Jawaani Hai Deewani is releasing tomorrow, and it is the only movie releasing tomorrow. This is something that happens rarely in bollywood these days, as big movies are often clashing with each other. This movie seems to have got a month before any solid big-budget movie is getting released. Dharma Productions seems to have stuck gold with the release timing.

Marketing of the movie has been centered around - Ranbir and Deepika coming back together for one last time again. In every single interview, press conference, and promotion, they have been talking about how it was not a big deal for both of them to get back to working together. Both of them have been quite successful recently, Ranbir has been riding on the success of Barfi while Deepika gave a rocking performance in Cocktail. All songs from the movie have been popularized well, album is a nice mix of tracks for different mood.

Hit lead pairing, good music, good production house values, good director, and finally a solid supporting caste, this movie has everything to do a bumper opening at the box office. It should not be a surprise if this movie cross 100 crore within first two weeks, as it only needs to get around 70% occupancy to get second biggest opening of the year due to its release size. Unless the content is really bad, I don't see how this movie will not make profit for Karan Johar.

Prediction: 
First weekend: 45-50 crores.
First week: 75-80 crores
Lifetime: 115-125 crores

Thursday, 23 May 2013

Movie releases 24 May 2013 - Box Office Prediction

Hum Hai Raahi Car Ke  

This simply looks like a joke of a film in the disguise of a comedy film. Marketing of the movie has been basically themed around a new upcoming star having fun with three veterans playing supporting cast, also having fun. All scenes shown are completely unrelated to each other, and there is no clue what the story is about, not that I was really trying to figure out. Though there have been movies successful that way, but they have been few and far in between. I don't think the music is popular, don't hear anyone requesting them on radio.
Prediction: less than 3 crore weekend and less than 5 crore lifetime collection (Generous as I doing this first time here)

Zindagi 50-50

I am guess I might be the only one talking about it as of now apart from the makers. Veena Malik in an intimate scene has been center figure of all the promos of this movie. I can understand that there is a market for such movie thanks to Mahesh Bhatt, but you need a good music to pull that one too.
Prediction: Less than a crore weekend, and max 2 crore lifetime

Ishkq In Paris

To be fair, this is one movie releasing this weekend that has good music and impressive star cast, even though only one of the lead pair is known. Marketing of the movie is basically centered around good music and cool locations of Paris, making it obvious that this movie is targeted to youth. It also means that cost of  production can't be less than 10-15 crores, so it needs to make at least 25 so that distributors can make profit.  I am afraid I don't see this movie making that much.
Prediction: Weekend : 5-7 crores, 1st Week: 10-11 crores, 15 Lifetime (again a generous figure)

Fast and Furious

One of the most awaited movie this year, after Iron Man 3, this franchise has some fan following in India. Promo is very good and I like the last scene where a car break out of the airplane. Background score looks good and Dwayne The Rock Johnson is back in action with Vin Diesel. I think this movie should have a good weekend
India Prediction:  Weekend: 10-12 crores, 1st Week: 20 crores, Lifetime: 30-35 crore